4/30/24: Changed New Hampshire contest to party-run primary below
NOTES:
Noncompliant: States where state parties have violated Democratic National Committee rules for the 2024 cycle and have been penalized. New Hampshire Democrats lost half of their delegation, reducing the number to just ten (10) delegates. The state party in the Granite state is the only such state this cycle to be penalized. [Update 4/30/24: New Hampshire Democrats opted to hold a party-run primary on April 27, 2024, and a subsequent vote by the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee deemed the plan compliant, restoring the state party's full delegation.]
Party-run primary/caucus: Over the last two cycles, the Democratic National Committee has moved to encourage state parties to abandon caucuses in favor of state-run primaries (where possible) but party-run primaries in cases where institutional barriers remain in place, preventing such changes. The nomenclature has become blurred if not interchangeable, but most states where there is not the possibility of a state-run presidential primary have adopted processes that more closely resemble primaries than traditional caucuses by offering absentee voting and/or early vote options, for example. The traditional "walking" caucus has largely gone by the wayside but the moniker has stuck in some cases. [The lineup of states with party-run delegate selection processes has shifted some since 2020, but the number remains twelve. The vast majority of states have state-run presidential primaries.]
Primary: 44 states and territories will have state government-run presidential primaries in 2024. More than 90 percent of delegates will be allocated through those contests.
State-by-state breakdown
NOTES:
Bear in mind that for automatic delegates -- those delegates formerly known as superdelegates -- to vote on the presidential nomination, the presumptive nominee will have to be ahead in the pledged delegate count by a number greater than the total number of automatic delegates. This rule, instituted for the 2020 cycle, prevents automatic delegates from swinging the nomination to a candidate with fewer pledged delegates. In other words, the automatic delegates cannot be decisive to the outcome. Given those contingencies, there are two magic numbers of delegates to win the Democratic nomination: with or without the automatic delegates. In a competitive cycle, the distinction may matter, but in an incumbent reelection cycle like 2024, it is less likely that the automatic delegates will have to sit out the presidential nomination roll call vote.
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